DEMAND FORECASTING OF OKRA: CASE STUDY OF OKRA PLANTING COMMUNITY ENTERPRISE OF KAMPHAENG SAEN DISTRICT

Kraiwit  Sinthukhammoon; Anchalee  Hiranphaet; Tommanee  Sooksai; Karnnapat  Chumkad; Sirion  Son-ong

Kraiwit Sinthukhammoon Suan Sunandha Rajabhat University
Anchalee Hiranphaet Suan Sunandha Rajabhat University
Tommanee Sooksai Suan Sunandha Rajabhat University
Karnnapat Chumkad Suan Sunandha Rajabhat University
Sirion Son-ong Suan Sunandha Rajabhat University

Keywords: Forecasting, Okra, Community Enterprise

Abstract

Abstract—The objective of this research was analyzing the data of demand to propose a demand forecasting plan approach of Okra Planting Community Enterprise of Kamphaeng Saen District. Method was studying the weekly demand data to analyze the characteristics and make a forecast with Exponential Smoothing with Trend Adjustment method and Seasonal Variations method. After obtaining the forecast values of both methods, then measure the error with the method to find the method of forecasting which has the least error. The results showed that demand forecasting with Seasonal Variations method has lesser error than the Exponential Smoothing with Trend Adjustment method. Therefore, a method of Demand Forecasting of Okra with the Seasonal Variations method was chosen as a forecasting method to be used to forecast the next month’s data. To find the possibility to prepare the area for cultivation of okra to reduce wastage or waste of production without benefit.